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Progress MS-16 arrives at ISS

The 77th Russian cargo supply flight to the International Space Station, ISS, lifted off on February 15, with the unusual task of discarding the veteran Pirs Docking Compartment, SO1, from the Russian Segment of the outpost, to make way for the long-awaited MLM Nauka module later in 2021. On February 17, Progress MS-16 docked at ISS under the manual control of the station's crew, after a last-minute problem with the automated rendezvous system.


Previous mission: Progress MS-15

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Progress MS-16 mission at a glance:

Spacecraft designation(s) Progress MS-16, No. 445, ISS mission 77P
Launch vehicle Soyuz-2-1a No. Ya15000-041
Payload fairing 11S517A2 No. Ya15000-126
Launch site Baikonur, Site 31, Pad 6
Mission Cargo delivery to the ISS, disposal of the SO1 module
Launch date and time 2021 February 15, 07:45:06.310 Moscow Time (04:45 UTC)
Docking date and time 2021 February 17, 09:26:47 (actual); 09:20 Moscow Time (planned)
Docking destination ISS, Russian Segment, Pirs Docking Compartment, SO1
Mission duration 152 days
Undocking and reentry 2021 July
Spacecraft mass ~7.4 tons
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Progress MS-16 flight program

During the early revisions of the ISS flight manifest, the Progress MS-16 cargo mission ended up in the timeframe when Roskosmos planned to launch the long-awaited MLM Nauka module. A few days before the Nauka's arrival, the Pirs Docking Compartment, SO-1, had to vacate the nadir (Earth-facing) port of the Zvezda Service Module, where the new spacecraft would be permanently parked. Nauka could not be docked to Pirs because the light thin-walled module was not structurally designed to hold the 20-ton new comer. Neither had Pirs its own propulsion system, requiring a space tug for disposal maneuvers. A departing cargo ship could perform the operation with just some extra avionics retrofitted into the vehicle during its pre-launch processing in Baikonur.

By the Fall of 2019, the ISS flight manifest set the launch of Progress MS-16 for December 11, 2020, placing the end of its 220-day stay at the station toward the middle of 2021. At the same time, the launch of MLM Nauka was increasingly likely to slip from the end 0f 2020 well into 2021, thus giving Progress MS-16 a back-up role as a "burial" vehicle for the Pirs module.

At the time, the primary role of discarding Pirs was still assigned to the Progress MS-15 mission, however a delay with the December 2020 launch of the Nauka would shift the responsibility to Progress MS-16, because mission control wanted to keep Pirs at the station until the arrival of Nauka was imminent. In case of Progress MS-16 launch on December 11, 2020, the cargo ship would dock at Pirs on December 13, 2020, and would be ready to depart with the retiring module on April 23, 2021, just three days after the launch of Nauka. Progress MS-16 and Pirs would be deorbited on the day of their undocking from the ISS.

However, according to the preliminary version of the ISS flight manifest drafted by Roskosmos at the end of August 2020, the task of discarding Pirs was still assigned to Progress MS-15, while Progress MS-16 would be docked to the aft port of the Zvezda Service Module, SM, for a routine supply mission concluding in mid-March 2021, after just 96 days in orbit.

Finally, by late Fall 2020, the launch of Nauka slipped from April to July 2021, dropping the task of Pirs disposal into the Progress MS-16's lap. The exact launch date of Progress MS-16 could change depending on the status of the MLM launch (Insider Content).

In early October 2020, RIA Novosti quoted Roskosmos press-service as saying that the Progress MS-16 and Arktika-M missions had been postponed until 2021 due to the need for additional checks. The delay was probably related to the payload fairing separation issue during the launch of Progress MS-15 cargo ship on July 23, 2020.

Before the end of 2020, the launch of Progress MS-16 was set for February 15, 2021, on a 152-day mission, concluding with its departure from the ISS in a joint stack with the Pirs Docking Compartment, a couple of days after the launch of Nauka, then planned for July 15, 2021.

Preparations for flight

cargo

Soyuz-2-1a vehicle with Progress M-16 is being installed on the launch pad at Site 31 on the morning of Feb. 12, 2021.


On January 18, 2021, Roskosmos announced that specialists from the Yuzhny space center and RKK Energia had started processing operations with the Progress MS-16 cargo ship and the Soyuz MS-18 crew vehicles.

On February 1, 2021, Roskosmos announced that the technical management meeting in Baikonur had cleared Progress MS-16 for fueling of its tanker module and the integrated propulsion unit, ODU, with propellant components and pressurized gases. Before its transfer to the fueling station, the spacecraft had undergone weighting and balancing, Roskosmos said.

On February 4, Roskosmos said that Progress MS-16 had been installed back into its processing stand inside the assembly building at Site 254 for final pre-launch operations and loading of fresh food items in its cargo bay.

The ship's cargo included 600 kilograms of propellant for refueling, 420 liters of drinking water in the Rodnik system, 40.5 kilograms of pressurized gases with extra nitrogen supplies and 1,400 kilograms of various equipment and supplies, including the repair kit with reinforced glue patches for temporary sealing of the air leak (Insider Content) in the Transfer Chamber, PrK, in the Zvezda Service Module, SM, Roskosmos said. The cargo also included 31 kilograms of equipment and materials for Russian scientific experiments Neirolab, Aseptik, Fotobioreaktor, Kaskad and Biodegradatsiya.

Mass breakdown of the cargo delivered aboard Progress MS-16, according to the mission control in Korolev:

Hardware for onboard systems
341 kilogram
Means of medical support
28 kilograms
Personal protection equipment
109 kilograms
Sanitary and hyegene equipment
313 kilograms
Means of servicing and repair
46 kilograms
Complex of means for the crew support
23 kilograms
Food
469 kilograms
Payload complex
16 kilograms
Structural components and additional hardware
52 kilograms
NASA cargo
75 kilograms

The integration of the spacecraft with its launch vehicle adapter was performed on February 5 and on February 9, specialists conducted the traditional visual inspection of the ship, after which it was lowered into horizontal position and rolled inside its protective fairing. Following a launch readiness test, the assembled payload section was transferred from the spacecraft processing building at Site 254 to the vehicle assembly building at Site 31 on February 10, for integration with its Soyuz-2-1a rocket, which was completed on February 11.

The fully assembled vehicle was rolled out to the launch pad at Site 31 on the morning of February 12, 2021. The transport-erector system began moving at 5:30 in the morning Moscow Time and upon the arrival at the pad, the launch vehicle was installed in vertical position, enclosed in the access gantry and launch pad interfaces were connected to the rocket. According to the processing schedule of the first day on the pad, specialists conducted autonomous tests of all systems aboard the spacecraft and the launch system and analyzed the resulting telemetry data. On February 13, Head of Roskosmos Dmitry Rogozin announced that general tests had been performed with flying colors and all the work of the second day on the pad had been completed.

Several hours before the scheduled liftoff on February 14, Roskosmos said that the last-minute cargo was being loaded into the cargo ship and the rocket was being prepared for fueling. The State Commission overseeing the launch met at 03:40 Moscow Time and cleared the launch vehicle for fueling which started at 04:10 Moscow Time. The completion of the process and the withdrawal of fueling vehicles from the pad was scheduled around 06:15 Moscow Time.

Progress MS-16 launch profile

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A Soyuz-2-1a rocket carrying the Progress MS-16 cargo ship to the ISS is scheduled to lifted off on February 15, 2021, at 07:45:06.310 Moscow Time (11:45 p.m. EST on February 14) from Site 31 in Baikonur.

Following vertical liftoff under the combined thrust of the four RD-107 engines on the first stage and the single RD-108 of the second (core) stage, the launch vehicle headed eastward from Baikonur matching its ground track to an orbit inclined 51.67 degrees to the plane of the Equator. The four first-stage boosters separated nearly two minutes into the flight, followed by the split and drop of the two halves of the payload fairing slightly more than a minute later. In the meantime, the second stage continued firing until 4.7 minutes into the flight.

The third stage then ignited moments before the separation of the second stage, firing its RD-0110 engine through a lattice structure connecting the two boosters and ensuring a continuous thrust during the separation process. A fraction of a second after the boosters of the second and third stage parted ways, the aft cylindrical section of the third stage split into three segments and dropped off, ensuring the fall of the second stage and the aft section into the same drop zone.

The Progress MS-16 separated from the third stage of the launch vehicle at 07:53:55 Moscow Time entering an initial parking orbit as planned.

The onboard camera and reports from mission control confirmed that all antennas and solar panels aboard the vehicle had deployed.

The Russian mission control in Korolev displayed the following deployment sequence:

Event
Moscow Time
Separation from the third stage of the launch vehicle
07:53:54
RTS radio-system antennas deployment
07:54:09
Solar panels deployment
07:54:15
Deployment of rendezvous antennas
07:54:07

 

According to Roskosmos, Progress MS-16 entered a planned orbit with the following parameters:

Orbital period 88.54 minutes
Orbital inclination 51.67 degrees
Perigee (lowest point) 193.27 kilometers
Apogee (highest point) 240.24 kilometers

At the time, when Progress MS-16 entered orbit, the ISS was flying over the Southern Atlantic at an altitude of more than 400 kilometers.

Three minutes after reaching orbit, mission control planned a routine four-minute test of the ship's Kurs rendezvous system. Then between 09:23 and 09:31 Moscow Time, the spacecraft was scheduled to deploy its docking mechanism.

Progress MS-16 aborts automated final approach, docks under manual control

B1

Some docking antenna damage (right) was clearly visible on images of the approaching Progress MS-16.


Following its successful launch on February 15, 2021, the Progress MS-16 mission was designed to follow a two-day, 34-orbit rendezvous profile to reach the International Space Station, ISS.

According to Roskosmos, on February 16, 2021, at 08:51 Moscow Time (12:51 a.m. EST), Progress MS-16 conducted a planned orbit correction maneuver on its way to the ISS. Five more firings had followed using the ship's main SKD engine and small DPO thrusters, before the spacecraft started a routine flyaround of the station and the final approach at the 417.627 by 438.245-kilometer orbit of the ISS.

Orbital maneuvers of Progress MS-16 during its autonomous rendezvous with ISS on February 17, 2021:

No.
Moscow Time
Range to ISS
Velocity change
Burn duration
Engine used
1
07:24:22
306.56 kilometers
19.02 m/s
50.6 sec.
SKD
2
07:45:09
182.20 kilometers
1.27 m/s
32.6 sec.
DPO
3
08:11:53
69.26 kilometers
15.58 m/s
40.0 sec.
SKD
4
08:50:29
2.14 kilometers
5.68 m/s
17.8 sec.
SKD
5
08:55:01
1.02 kilometers
5.58 m/s
76.6 sec.
DPO
6
08:58:01
0.60 kilometers
1.52 m/s
27.0 sec.
DPO

The autonomous rendezvous process between Progress MS-16 and the station was planned according to the following timeline:

Start of the autonomous rendezvous 07:01:30 Moscow Time
Activation of the rendezvous equipment on the Zvezda Service Module 08:50:30 Moscow Time
Activation of the rendezvous equipment on the cargo ship 08:51:30 Moscow Time
Flyaround and station-keeping period starts 09:01 Moscow Time
Flyaround and station-keeping period ends 09:10 Moscow Time
Berthing starts 09:10 Moscow Time
Berthing ends 09:20 Moscow Time
Contact 09:20:35 Moscow Time
Docking process begins 09:21 Moscow Time
Docking process ends 09:38 Moscow Time

During its 33rd orbit around the Earth, Progress MS-16 was reported to be in a 382.027 by 425.260-kilometer orbit.

The cargo ship was scheduled to dock in the fully automated mode at the Pirs Docking Compartment, SO1, on February 17, 2021, within three minutes from 09:20 Moscow Time (1:20 a.m. EST).

During the final approach, Russian cosmonauts Sergey Ryzhikov and Sergey Kud'-Sverchkov from the Soyuz MS-17 crew, were at the console of the remote control system, TORU, inside the Zvezda Service Module, SM, a part of the Russian ISS Segment, ready to switch to manual docking mode in case of problems with the automated system.

Indeed, just meters away from the station, as Progress MS-16 had completed a 56-degree flyaround of the station, aligned itself with the destination docking port at a distance of around 400 meters and began the final approach, the spacecraft made an unexpected roll maneuver around 20 meters from the station. When the deviation had exceeded allowable 30 degrees, mission control aborted the automated berthing, instructed the crew to activate the TORU mode and to command the spacecraft to back away from the station to a distance of 30 meters. After guiding the cargo ship away from the station, Sergei Ryzhikov was able to stabilize the wayward spacecraft and, after a short period of station-keeping, proceeded with the docking under manual control with the approval from the ground. According to Roskosmos, the first contact and the mechanical capture between the cargo ship and the station took place at 09:26:47 Moscow Time, or between three and six minutes behind schedule. (NASA reported the docking time as 1:27 a.m. EST, as the two spacecraft were flying over Argentina). The closure of the peripheral hooks of the docking port on the cargo ship was reported to take place at 09:32:02 Moscow Time, according to the mission control in Korolev.

According to one industry source, the failure of the automated docking was caused by the bent dish of the ASF antenna which performs precise measurements of the ship's positioning during its approach to the station. Specialists suspected that the antenna dish could have been damaged by a fragment of the separating payload fairing during the ship's ascent to orbit, essentially repeating incidents during launches of the Progress MS-15 and Progress MS-13 cargo ships.

Experts noticed that all three anomalies during the separation of the payload fairing have taken place since the transition of the Progress launches from the Soyuz-U/FG rocket variants to the newer Soyuz-2 vehicle. The design of payload section on both versions of the rocket is believed to be the same, but the separation of the fairing on Soyuz-2 takes place earlier, because the vehicle's new digital control system affords a more flexible control of the ascent trajectory.

A commission was formed to investigate an issue, a source told RussianSpaceWeb.com.

Progress MS-16 to conduct ISS orbit correction

On May 12, 2021, Roskosmos announced that the propulsion system of the Progress MS-16 cargo ship would be used for the ISS orbit correction scheduled for May 20, 2021, to put the station in the path for a rendezvous with the Soyuz MS-19 crew vehicle and to provide a landing opportunity for Soyuz MS-18.

According to calculations of the Russian mission control, the engines aboard Progress MS-16 will initiate a pre-programmed firing at 20:01 Moscow Time lasting 180 seconds. The maneuver will add 0.2 meters per second to the station's velocity boosting its average altitude by 350 meters to 419.72 kilometers.

According to preliminary estimates, after the orbit correction, the ISS will be in orbit with the following parameters:

  • Orbital period: 92.91 minutes;
  • Orbital inclination: 51.66 degrees;
  • Minimum altitude: 417.73 kilometers;
  • Maximum altitude: 438.22 kilometers.

 

 

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This page is maintained by Anatoly Zak; Last update: May 12, 2021

Page editor: Alain Chabot; Last edit: February 13, 2021

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pirs

An artist rendering depicting the disposal of the Pirs Docking compartment with the help of the Progress cargo ship. Click to enlarge. Copyright © 2019 Anatoly Zak


vacuum

A photo dated Nov. 6, 2020, shows the start of the Progress MS-16 launch campaign inside processing building at Site 254 in Baikonur. The MLM Nauka module can be seen on the right. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

Progress MS-16 is being prepared for transfer to a fueling facility on February 1, 2021. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


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Loading of the final cargo items aboard the Progress MS-16 spacecraft on February 4, 2021. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

Payload section with Progress MS-16 spacecraft is being prepared for shipment to the vehicle assembly building for integration with the Soyuz-2-1a rocket on February 10, 2021. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

Final assembly of the Soyuz-2-1a rocket with Progress MS-16 spacecraft at Site 31. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


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Soyuz-2-1a rocket with Progress MS-16 shortly after arrival at launch pad on Feb. 12, 2021. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

Access gantry is being retracted from the Soyuz rocket around half an hour before the liftoff of Progress MS-16. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


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Soyuz-2-1a rocket lifts off with Progress MS-16 on Feb. 15, 2021. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


stage1

vacuum

An external camera showed separation of the first stage boosters during the launch of Progress MS-16. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

An external camera showed separation of the payload fairing during the launch of Progress MS-16. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


stage3

Progress MS-16 separates from the third stage of the launch vehicle upon reaching orbit. Credit: Roskosmos


SB

Solar panel deployment aboard Progress MS-16 shortly after separation from the third stage of the launch vehicle. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

Initial approach of Progress MS-16 to the station went normally. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

A potential antenna damage visible on the Progress MS-16 during its approach to the station on Feb. 17, 2021. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

At 09:08 Moscow Time on February 17, 2021, Progress MS-16 completed roll manuever and it was well aligned with its destination docking port while being less than 200 meters from the ISS. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

At 09:18 Moscow Time, or two minutes before planned docking, Progress MS-16 appeared to be off its planned position on the roll axis. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

Progress MS-16 appeared to be back on target under manual control by 09:23 Moscow Time. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos


vacuum

Sergey Ryzhikov during a remote control docking exercise aboard the ISS on Feb. 9, 2021. Click to enlarge. Credit: Roskosmos